Posted by Jacob Harris
Wed, 05 Oct 2005 16:06:00 GMT
Back in the day of the first Web boom, it seems like a lot of companies were started on the simple premise of
- Make a web site
- IPO or maybe get bought out
- Cash out with millions!
And so, a boom and bubble was born. The problem here was a lot of VCs and rational investors found themselves swept up in the frenzy back in the day, and placed their bets even though there was no real knowable way to accurately estimate the future profitability or net worth of their investments. Sure, there was a risk of failure, but that wasn’t viewed as negatively as the risk of not getting in early while it was still cheap. Add that to the later shared delusion of being able to cash out before the bubble burst, and the shortsightedness of those days is a lot more understandable. It seems though we’re on the verge of a new way of thinking:
- Make a web site
- Get bought out by Yahoo or Google
- Cash out with millions!
Maybe I’m being a bit pessimistic (and I will freely admit I’m no business expert), but I am slightly concerned about there being a new web bubble that could lead to disillusionment over Web2.0 technology. I like Google, but I think their stock is too overvalued at over $300 a share; thankfully, the company seems interested in correcting
this problem. And Web2.0 has become such a hype word among investors, it’s led to a wave of people trying to define what it is, offering alternative definitions, and mocking the business world for caring
Investors looking for the next big thing are starting to latch onto the Web2.0 excitement and I think some people think Google and Yahoo can do no wrong; I only hope they do their homework first this time.
On the technical side of things, I have a fear of web developers starting companies with the sole goal of being bought by Google or Yahoo in a few years or less. There’s a big difference between planning a business for the long haul and hoping to get snatched up before you burn through all your cash in two years. So, I must admit it was with some dismay today that I read that Yahoo has acquired Upcoming.org, just like it had with Flickr. This is not to begrudge Upcoming their success (it’s a great web app), but I’m just afraid of where the combination of lazy web developers and over-eager investors will take us. We’ve been there before, and I don’t want to see it again.
And of course, the biggest problem with all this is the way in which this weaking leads to the end of the openness and choice out there now. How many options are there really if your choice for web applications is between Yahoo and Google? Will this lead to a segmentation of content and communication? And more importantly, if you think that the Web2.0 is all about the free flow and interchange of data, won’t the growth of Google and Yahoo into all areas of the Internet choke that off?
Posted in Web, Silly | Tags flickr, upcoming, web2.0, yahoo | no comments
Posted by Jacob Harris
Fri, 23 Sep 2005 10:03:00 GMT
As you may have guessed from this site, I am hardly a person you would expect to praise Microsoft for their technical insight and forward thinking. Like the story about generals, they always seem to be fighting the last war, with their late arrival to the Internet and Web being a current and recurring example (now, rather than Netscape, it’s Google that is seen as their greatest threat). However, occasionally they get a thing right along the way, and I feel honor-bound to note it in this case.
Over at The Register, there is an article RSS Goes To Work In Windows detailing the ways in which Microsoft has jumped onto the RSS bandwagon with Windows Vista (shipping next year, maybe?). For those of you following along at home, Microsoft is planning to ship a built in RSS-store capability in Windows which will allow any application compiled against the appropriate API to be an RSS aggregator and manipulate feeds programmatically. This is a nice touch, but hardly a stretch yet.
What is interesting to me is that Microsoft discusses their plans to have the next release of their Dynamics CRM software to create RSS feeds that can be syndicated to. Other server applications with RSS extensions in the works are Sharepoint Portal, Exchange, and possible Office. As the article quotes it
“CRM is one of the first examples of how we see RSS unlocking data in the back end data systems,” Amar Gandhi, Microsoft Internet Explorer group program manager, told The Register during a recent interview. Microsoft revealed plans to RSS-enable its CRM last week at the Professional Developers’ Conference (PDC)
Chris Caposella, vice president for Microsoft’s information worker product management group, told software developers attending PDC Microsoft believes RSS would be transformed into a platform that embraces business applications.
That last paragraph was something I’d never see. Because honestly, I never thought people would “accept” RSS in the Enterprise. While we can joke about how meaningless the term Enterprise Software is, RSS is definitely not it by any usual sense of the term for several reasons:
- RSS in general has no typing or generalized schema. It’s really a schema for news stories that can be generalized for events, but it’s not for serialization of complex typed objects like SOAP.
- The RSS model is extremely simple. Pull requests over HTTP. No pushing, no notification mechanism for new content.
- In itself, RSS has no security for content (I know, Atom has support for encrypted content), and access security is generally only done through obscurity (giving an individual user a feed with a long unique token in it, maybe unguessable, but not unsniffable)
- Finally, RSS is not really controlled. There are no authorization lists, no ACLs or DRM or other such mechanisms to control who can subscribe and where they can do it.
That said, I think all of these aspects are why RSS has succeeded so widely in the world of the Web2.0, while SOAP has largely failed to gain traction. In fact, considering that one of SOAP’s biggest backers is Microsoft, this RSS announcement reveals what a disappointment SOAP has been as a web service platform. So, why is a company like Microsoft so willing to reject one of its software initiatives and embrace RSS so, in effect giving RSS an mantle of legitimacy in the Enterprise it might’ve taken years to achieve?
I think that if we want to consider the biggest Web2.0 trend for the coming year, it won’t be the proliferation of AJAX or increasing maturity of Web Frameworks. It’ll be the proliferation of RSS into every aspect of server-side content. One of the greatest things about Flickr and Del.icio.us is that you can subscribe to an RSS feed for every possible page. And since pages are dynamic content (combinations of photos, groups, tags, users), what you are really subscribing to is not a list of documents, but the latest matches for a search (ie, “find me all photos tagged Italy by this user”). And it’s easy to do, regardless of the site.
One of the cool features of Mac OSX Tiger’s Spotlight (and probably Windows Vista) is the ability to save searches as virtual folders which can be opened and browsed like regular folders in the Finder. This is a really cool way to manage ever-growing content. Now, imagine being able to do similar functionality with server-side content, and suddenly the appeal of RSS makes a lot of sense (admittedly since RSS usually shows only the last 20 items or so, there is a you snooze, you lose problem, the general metaphor holds). Most of the Web2.0 is about taking the applications of the desktop into the browser, this brings the web back into the machine and applications.
No wonder Microsoft suddenly has the RSS Religion. Done well, this might be their best chance to keep people hooked into Windows and all their software products for business. Of course, they are trying to do the old embrace, extend, extinguish trick, but this time it may not fly because Microsoft’s not in the driver’s seat for the technology. That said, I must admit that Microsoft has made a smart and proactive move for the future here, and I think it’ll benefit them well. But more importantly, it lends a large amount of authority to RSS in the Enterprise, which makes RSS and the Open Source Standards-Based community the biggest winner of all. At Alacra, we’ve felt that RSS will be much bigger in the Enterprise for a while. It’s neat to see we’re not alone.
Posted in Web Services | Tags delicious, enterprise, flickr, microsoft, rss | no comments
Posted by harrisj
Thu, 07 Apr 2005 14:00:00 GMT
Second day blogging and I am already late to the party in talking about the changes Google has made to the Maps program by incorporating the satellite imagery from Keyhole. The result is very cool, not just because it's neat to see things from space, but because the map functionality is overlaid right onto the satellite data as well (as John Park shows with his bike route). What I like about this is what I also like about people using the maps with Flickr's annotation capabilities to present memory maps or people doing "virtual tourism" of sorts to get a feel of geography from afar, in that there's a real sense of play and fun and hacking going on with Google Maps that I haven't seen with a web service for a while. I will talk more about this later, since I think it's the difference between a successful web service and a dud.
Posted in Web Services, Search | Tags flickr, google | no comments
